{
  "generated_at": "2026-05-06T01:33:23.049770+00:00",
  "source_files": {
    "local_cdx_checkpoint": "cdx_checkpoint.json (local capped checkpoint; not exposed publicly)",
    "municipios_dominios": "municipios_dominios.csv",
    "metricas_fase2_completo": "metricas_fase2_completo.csv",
    "metricas_iei_completo": "metricas_iei_completo.csv",
    "dados_demograficos": "dados_demograficos.csv",
    "relatorio_produto_cassandra": "relatorio_produto_cassandra.csv",
    "arquivo_temporal_features": "data/arquivo_temporal_features.csv",
    "legacy_internal_model_metrics": "reports/model_metrics.json",
    "confirmed_public_model_metrics": "reports/confirmed_model_metrics.json",
    "arquivo_ablation_summary": "data/arquivo_ablation_summary.json",
    "arquivo_ablation_results": "arquivo_ablation_results.json"
  },
  "field_notes": {
    "checkpoint_cdx_record_count": "checkpoint_cdx_record_count reflects records available in the local capped checkpoint, not a complete historical total of all Arquivo.pt captures.",
    "checkpoint_valid_capture_count": "checkpoint_valid_capture_count counts checkpoint records with status 200, 301, 302, or 304.",
    "generated_arquivo_replay_url": "Syntactically generated from timestamp and URL; replay_url_verified is false unless a future script verifies the URL."
  },
  "model_feature_formulas": {
    "capture_density": "Total_Arquivo_Captures / Pop. 2021",
    "digital_decay_rate": "metricas_iei_completo.csv:Media_Dias_Entre_Capturas",
    "digital_decay_rate_limit": "Original derivation formula is not fully recoverable from the current repository."
  },
  "metrics_source": {
    "status": "CONFIRMED_PUBLIC_METRICS",
    "source_files": [
      "reports/confirmed_model_metrics.json",
      "data/arquivo_ablation_summary.json",
      "arquivo_ablation_results.json"
    ],
    "with_arquivo": {
      "accuracy": 0.6613,
      "weighted_f1": 0.649
    },
    "without_arquivo": {
      "accuracy": 0.5806,
      "weighted_f1": 0.5819
    },
    "delta": {
      "accuracy_pp": -8.06,
      "weighted_f1_pp": -6.71,
      "tier1_recall_pp": -18.18,
      "tier2_recall_pp": -20.0,
      "tier3_recall_pp": 5.0,
      "tier4_recall_pp": -6.25
    },
    "public_framing": "Decision-support territorial risk classification. Not an infallible prediction engine.",
    "legacy_internal_note": "reports/model_metrics.json is retained only as an internal macro-F1/per-tier artifact and is not the public metric source."
  },
  "total_municipalities": 308,
  "total_checkpoint_cdx_records": 1521598,
  "checkpoint_domains": 308,
  "checkpoint_record_cap_per_domain": 5000,
  "checkpoint_domains_at_record_cap": 301,
  "total_sample_records": 3074,
  "imputed_capture_count_municipalities": 80,
  "municipalities_needing_manual_review": 0,
  "formula_warnings": [
    "checkpoint CDX counts are capped local provenance evidence, not model input values.",
    "capture_density = Total_Arquivo_Captures / Pop. 2021",
    "digital_decay_rate is imported as a legacy model feature from metricas_iei_completo.csv:Media_Dias_Entre_Capturas. The original derivation formula is not fully recoverable from the current repository.",
    "Imputation marker: model values equal to 628.0 when fase2 raw=0 are treated as median-imputed."
  ],
  "featured_cases": {
    "Alcácer do Sal": {
      "municipality_id": "MUN_A5EC4C7A",
      "domain": "cm-alcacerdosal.pt",
      "tier_public_label": "Tier 4 — Risco Crítico",
      "risk_score": "79.2",
      "checkpoint_cdx_record_count": 5000,
      "checkpoint_valid_capture_count": 4567,
      "model_total_arquivo_captures": 129.0,
      "capture_count_imputed": "no",
      "imputation_note": "raw value used directly",
      "first_capture_year": "2008",
      "last_capture_year": "2024",
      "active_years_count": 17,
      "capture_density": "0.011537429568",
      "digital_decay_rate": "26.547",
      "digital_decay_rate_source": "metricas_iei_completo.csv:Media_Dias_Entre_Capturas",
      "evidence_quality_flag": "ok"
    },
    "Torres Vedras": {
      "municipality_id": "MUN_C8F82DB5",
      "domain": "cm-tvedras.pt",
      "tier_public_label": "Tier 1 — Resiliência",
      "risk_score": "0.3",
      "checkpoint_cdx_record_count": 5000,
      "checkpoint_valid_capture_count": 4814,
      "model_total_arquivo_captures": 2209.0,
      "capture_count_imputed": "no",
      "imputation_note": "raw value used directly",
      "first_capture_year": "1998",
      "last_capture_year": "2024",
      "active_years_count": 27,
      "capture_density": "0.0262239422575",
      "digital_decay_rate": "15.308",
      "digital_decay_rate_source": "metricas_iei_completo.csv:Media_Dias_Entre_Capturas",
      "evidence_quality_flag": "ok"
    },
    "Proença-a-Nova": {
      "municipality_id": "MUN_10BB533C",
      "domain": "cm-proencanova.pt",
      "tier_public_label": "Tier 4 — Risco Crítico",
      "risk_score": "95.4",
      "checkpoint_cdx_record_count": 5000,
      "checkpoint_valid_capture_count": 4895,
      "model_total_arquivo_captures": 3247.0,
      "capture_count_imputed": "no",
      "imputation_note": "raw value used directly",
      "first_capture_year": "2000",
      "last_capture_year": "2024",
      "active_years_count": 25,
      "capture_density": "0.454062368899",
      "digital_decay_rate": "1.2997",
      "digital_decay_rate_source": "metricas_iei_completo.csv:Media_Dias_Entre_Capturas",
      "evidence_quality_flag": "ok"
    }
  },
  "ablation_summary": {
    "arquivo_ablation_results_json": "arquivo_ablation_results.json",
    "summary_json": "data/arquivo_ablation_summary.json",
    "validated": true,
    "note": "Confirmed public ablation metrics are loaded from reports/confirmed_model_metrics.json and data/arquivo_ablation_summary.json; raw restored ablation values live in arquivo_ablation_results.json.",
    "with_arquivo": {
      "accuracy": 0.6613,
      "weighted_f1": 0.649
    },
    "without_arquivo": {
      "accuracy": 0.5806,
      "weighted_f1": 0.5819
    },
    "delta": {
      "accuracy_pp": -8.06,
      "weighted_f1_pp": -6.71,
      "tier1_recall_pp": -18.18,
      "tier2_recall_pp": -20.0,
      "tier3_recall_pp": 5.0,
      "tier4_recall_pp": -6.25
    },
    "source": "reports/confirmed_model_metrics.json and data/arquivo_ablation_summary.json"
  }
}